Melgar 4-0 Deportivo Moquegua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 16 Feb 2026

Melgar
4-0 HT 2-0
Deportivo Moquegua
📅16/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2026

Melgar vs Deportivo Moquegua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
78%
-4.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melgar v Deportivo Moquegua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moquegua EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.9 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Melgar 4-0 Deportivo Moquegua — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
4-0
AWAY Deportivo Moquegua
4.36 xG 0.23
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
484 Passes 120
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Deportivo Moquegua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Moquegua 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Melgar had 73% of the ball to Deportivo Moquegua's 27%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 4.36 to 0.23.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Melgar 4-0 Deportivo Moquegua in the Peru - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Melgar 73%, draw 19%, Deportivo Moquegua 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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