Central Espanol vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Central Espanol v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Central Espanol 2-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Central Espanol squeezed past CA Penarol 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CA Penarol at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Central Espanol had 34% of the ball to CA Penarol's 66%, shots finished 8-18.
What was the final score of Central Espanol vs CA Penarol?
Central Espanol 2-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Central Espanol vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Central Espanol 21%, draw 21%, CA Penarol 58%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.