16/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-2
Prerov vs Batov Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
84%
22%
Draw
9%
24%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Prerov v Batov — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Prerov
The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Batov
The Market 9%
-98% /
-98%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-59%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
63%
Ball Possession
37%
17
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
428 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
209 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Prerov vs Batov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Prerov got the better of Batov 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Prerov as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Prerov vs Batov?
Prerov 2-0 Batov in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Prerov vs Batov?
Before kick-off our model rated a Prerov win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Prerov 54%, draw 22%, Batov 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prerov) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Prerov)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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16 Mar 2024