Ujezd Praha 4 0-1 Chomutov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - 4.League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
13%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
41%
+7.4pp
20%
Draw
29%
-8.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujezd Praha 4 The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chomutov The Market 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ujezd Praha 4 vs Chomutov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chomutov edged past Ujezd Praha 4 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ujezd Praha 4 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ujezd Praha 4 vs Chomutov?

Ujezd Praha 4 0-1 Chomutov in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujezd Praha 4 vs Chomutov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujezd Praha 4 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ujezd Praha 4 48%, draw 20%, Chomutov 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ujezd Praha 4) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujezd Praha 4) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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