Everton (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

Everton (K)
1-2 HT 0-0
Aston Villa (K)
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Everton (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
8.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Everton (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
1-2
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
1.14 xG 0.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
349 Passes 415
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa (K) nicked a narrow win over Everton (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aston Villa (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Everton (K) had 46% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.14 to 0.63 — on chances, Everton (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Everton (K) 1-2 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 32%, draw 22%, Aston Villa (K) 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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