Sligo Rovers 3-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

Sligo Rovers
3-1 HT 2-0
Drogheda United
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 35% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
18%
3.93
X/2
13%
8.75
X/X
14%
4.42
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
7.24
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sligo Rovers v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
0.89/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.18
-39% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 66%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.2 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 219
70% Pass Accuracy 61%
12 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
28.07.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
21.07.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRK
15.04.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
03.03.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.09.2022 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL

Sligo Rovers 3-1 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
3-1
AWAY Drogheda United
1.61 xG 2.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
202 Passes 229
61% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers saw off Drogheda United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sligo Rovers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 48% of the ball to Drogheda United's 52%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.61 to 2.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Drogheda United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.00 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Sligo Rovers 3-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sligo Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 46%, draw 27%, Drogheda United 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sligo Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sligo Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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