Halmstad 0-4 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
12%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.58 xG 2.01
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
199 Passes 559
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
14.05.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
04.12.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
07.08.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
06.03.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-1 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
01.10.2017 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
0-4
AWAY Malmö FF
26% Ball Possession 74%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF cruised past Halmstad 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Halmstad had 26% of the ball to Malmö FF's 74%, shots finished 4-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Halmstad and 1.67 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

Halmstad 0-4 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Cup on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 22%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ BTTS No
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