CD Castellon 2-3 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 34% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.8pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.38/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.96
-9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cordoba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
19.06.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
24.01.2010 Cordoba Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
07.03.2009 Cordoba Cordoba 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
05.10.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-1 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
06.04.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-1 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-3
AWAY Cordoba
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba squeezed past CD Castellon 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 50% of the ball to Cordoba's 50%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cordoba led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Castellon and 1.17 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Cordoba?

CD Castellon 2-3 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 47%, draw 25%, Cordoba 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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