16/03/2024
·
18:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Aarau (K) vs Luzern (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
34%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
38%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Luzern (K) win — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
20%
Home Win
10%
26%
Draw
14%
55%
Away Win
76%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau (K) v Luzern (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aarau (K)
The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Luzern (K)
The Market 81%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
5
216 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
464 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Aarau (K) vs Luzern (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Luzern (K) beat Aarau (K) 2-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Luzern (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Aarau (K) vs Luzern (K)?
Aarau (K) 0-2 Luzern (K) in the Switzerland - Women's National Leaguei A on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau (K) vs Luzern (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aarau (K) 20%, draw 26%, Luzern (K) 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Luzern (K))
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSVKULA
More Switzerland - Women's National Leaguei A
16 Mar 2024