CD Everton 3-2 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Everton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.39/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.15
-20% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.7 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Everton
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nublense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.09.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
11.03.2023 CD Everton CD Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
15.09.2022 CD Everton CD Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
19.04.2022 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
24.10.2021 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
20.07.2021 CD Everton CD Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Everton
3-2
AWAY Nublense
2.67 xG 1.04
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
372 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Everton vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Everton squeezed past Nublense 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day CD Everton made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Everton had 57% of the ball to Nublense's 43%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.67 to 1.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CD Everton's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Everton and 0.83 for Nublense.

What was the final score of CD Everton vs Nublense?

CD Everton 3-2 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Everton vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CD Everton 36%, draw 30%, Nublense 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Everton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Everton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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