Bayern München (K) 5-0 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-16.5pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.2pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.4pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.78/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/3.92
-14% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -37%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
477 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
19.0 Crosses 13.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
5-0
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
4.10 xG 0.91
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
523 Passes 195
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) swept aside RB Leipzig (K) 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 67% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 33%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 4.10 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Bayern München (K) 5-0 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 69%, draw 16%, RB Leipzig (K) 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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