San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Lorenzo v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals
San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
2-4
HT 1-3
San Lorenzo
ARJ
2-1
HT 1-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
San Lorenzo 1-0 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics
San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over CA Sarmiento 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.
On the day, San Lorenzo had 52% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 48%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.58 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.67 for CA Sarmiento.
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento?
San Lorenzo 1-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs CA Sarmiento?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 47%, draw 31%, CA Sarmiento 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.