16/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Thalgau vs Bramberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
37%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
54%
21%
Draw
22%
32%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thalgau v Bramberg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Thalgau
The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bramberg
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
452 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Thalgau vs Bramberg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Thalgau
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Bramberg
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Thalgau vs Bramberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Thalgau got the better of Bramberg 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thalgau as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Thalgau vs Bramberg?
Thalgau 2-0 Bramberg in the Austria - Landesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thalgau vs Bramberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thalgau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Thalgau 47%, draw 21%, Bramberg 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thalgau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Thalgau)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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AULAN
More Austria - Landesliga
16 Mar 2024