Pinzgau Saalfelden 1-0 TSV St. Johann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Regional League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.34
Away Pick
54%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
TSV St. Johann win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pinzgau Saalfelden The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY TSV St. Johann The Market 71%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/0.66
+58% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +68%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pinzgau Saalfelden
2W-0D-1L
AWAY TSV St. Johann
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.07.2021 TSV St. Johann TSV St. Johann 2-1 HT 2-0 Pinzgau Saalfelden Pinzgau Saalfelden AVUBÖL
15.09.2020 Pinzgau Saalfelden Pinzgau Saalfelden 2-0 HT 1-0 TSV St. Johann TSV St. Johann AVUBÖL
24.09.2019 TSV St. Johann TSV St. Johann 1-2 HT 1-2 Pinzgau Saalfelden Pinzgau Saalfelden AVUBÖL
POST-MATCH Pinzgau Saalfelden vs TSV St. Johann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pinzgau Saalfelden edged past TSV St. Johann 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was TSV St. Johann at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pinzgau Saalfelden had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pinzgau Saalfelden and 1.00 for TSV St. Johann.

What was the final score of Pinzgau Saalfelden vs TSV St. Johann?

Pinzgau Saalfelden 1-0 TSV St. Johann in the Austria - Regional League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pinzgau Saalfelden vs TSV St. Johann?

Before kick-off our model rated an TSV St. Johann win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pinzgau Saalfelden 22%, draw 24%, TSV St. Johann 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TSV St. Johann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TSV St. Johann) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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