APIA Leichhardt U20 1-0 Sydney U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - U20 NSW NPL 1, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
50%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt U20 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney U20 EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt U20 vs Sydney U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt U20 squeezed past Sydney U20 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney U20 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt U20 vs Sydney U20?

APIA Leichhardt U20 1-0 Sydney U20 in the Australia - U20 NSW NPL 1 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt U20 vs Sydney U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt U20 22%, draw 28%, Sydney U20 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sydney U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →