FK Sarajevo 4-0 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.18/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.03
+5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 6
09.12.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 0-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
02.09.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
4-0
AWAY GOSK Gabela
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 7
11 Corners 2
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo ran out comfortable winners over GOSK Gabela 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 63% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 37%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.00 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs GOSK Gabela?

FK Sarajevo 4-0 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 61%, draw 23%, GOSK Gabela 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
16 Mar 2024
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