16/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Orapa United vs Security Systems Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
37%
21%
Draw
25%
40%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orapa United v Security Systems — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Orapa United
The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Security Systems
The Market 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
5
299 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
307 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Orapa United vs Security Systems
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Orapa United ran out comfortable winners over Security Systems 3-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Orapa United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Orapa United vs Security Systems?
Orapa United 3-0 Security Systems in the Bostvana - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orapa United vs Security Systems?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orapa United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orapa United 40%, draw 21%, Security Systems 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/21/40)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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