CRB 3-0 Murici — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Alagoano, 16 Mar 2024

CRB
3-0 HT 1-0
Murici
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Murici EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.15/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.85
+2% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Murici
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2023 Murici Murici 1-2 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BRALA
27.01.2022 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 1-0 Murici Murici BRALA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
3-0
AWAY Murici
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CRB vs Murici
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB swept aside Murici 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CRB had 58% of the ball to Murici's 42%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CRB had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CRB and 1.00 for Murici.

What was the final score of CRB vs Murici?

CRB 3-0 Murici in the Brazil - Alagoano on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Murici?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CRB 48%, draw 26%, Murici 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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