16/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Montana vs Sportist Svoge Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
22%
Draw
26%
43%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montana v Sportist Svoge — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Montana
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sportist Svoge
EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-26%
/
+14%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
7
279 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Montana vs Sportist Svoge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Montana saw off Sportist Svoge 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sportist Svoge at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Montana vs Sportist Svoge?
Montana 2-0 Sportist Svoge in the Bulgaria - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montana vs Sportist Svoge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sportist Svoge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montana 35%, draw 22%, Sportist Svoge 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sportist Svoge) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sportist Svoge)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BULB
More Bulgaria - 2nd Division
16 Mar 2024