USM El Harrach 1-0 AS Ain Mlila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.5pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ain Mlila EU Bookmakers 17%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.01/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.90
-42% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +66%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM El Harrach
1-0
AWAY AS Ain Mlila
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs AS Ain Mlila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach nicked a narrow win over AS Ain Mlila 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, USM El Harrach had 46% of the ball to AS Ain Mlila's 54%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs AS Ain Mlila?

USM El Harrach 1-0 AS Ain Mlila in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs AS Ain Mlila?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 60%, draw 22%, AS Ain Mlila 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYR2 More Algeria - 2nd Division
16 Mar 2024
17:00 Oued Magrane vs CA Batna Analysis →
17:00 Teleghma vs AS Khroub Analysis →
17:00 El Eulma vs HB Chelghoum Laid Analysis →
17:00 MO Constantine vs Annaba Analysis →
17:00 RB Ouargla vs E Sour Ghozlane Analysis →
17:00 NA Hussein Dey vs JSM Tiaret Analysis →