Belouizdad 0-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 24%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.65/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.14
+14% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY USM Alger
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
07.07.2023 Belouizdad Belouizdad 3-1 HT 1-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
07.12.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-2 HT 2-2 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
28.12.2021 Belouizdad Belouizdad 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
21.08.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 2-4 HT 0-3 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
30.04.2021 Belouizdad Belouizdad 0-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belouizdad
0-1
AWAY USM Alger
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger edged past Belouizdad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Belouizdad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Belouizdad had 62% of the ball to USM Alger's 38%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belouizdad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Belouizdad and 1.33 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs USM Alger?

Belouizdad 0-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 45%, draw 31%, USM Alger 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Belouizdad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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