Vejgaard BK 0-4 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejgaard BK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.48/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.48
-17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejgaard BK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naesby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-2 HT 1-1 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN3
26.10.2019 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK 0-2 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejgaard BK
0-4
AWAY Naesby
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vejgaard BK vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby cruised past Vejgaard BK 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Naesby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vejgaard BK had 43% of the ball to Naesby's 57%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vejgaard BK and 1.50 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Vejgaard BK vs Naesby?

Vejgaard BK 0-4 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejgaard BK vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vejgaard BK 37%, draw 24%, Naesby 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ BTTS Yes
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