Bhayangkara United 2-3 Dewa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Mar 2024

Bhayangkara United
2-3 HT 0-3
Dewa United
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Bhayangkara United vs Dewa United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.4pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bhayangkara United v Dewa United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bhayangkara United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dewa United EU Bookmakers 39%
+22% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.96/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.23
+41% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bhayangkara United vs Dewa United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bhayangkara United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Dewa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
5 Corners 3
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Dewa United Dewa United 2-2 HT 1-2 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
28.01.2023 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 1-1 HT 0-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
14.08.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 2-0 HT 1-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bhayangkara United vs Dewa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United squeezed past Bhayangkara United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; Dewa United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dewa United led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bhayangkara United and 1.67 for Dewa United.

What was the final score of Bhayangkara United vs Dewa United?

Bhayangkara United 2-3 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bhayangkara United vs Dewa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bhayangkara United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bhayangkara United 37%, draw 34%, Dewa United 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bhayangkara United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bhayangkara United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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