UTS Rabat 1-0 Maghreb Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.25
6+ Goals
6%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTS Rabat EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 37%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.46/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.13
+32% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTS Rabat
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Maghreb Fes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-1 HT 0-1 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
20.05.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-0 HT 0-0 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
07.01.2023 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-2 HT 0-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTS Rabat
1-0
AWAY Maghreb Fes
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTS Rabat vs Maghreb Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTS Rabat squeezed past Maghreb Fes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; UTS Rabat found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UTS Rabat had 49% of the ball to Maghreb Fes's 51%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UTS Rabat and 0.67 for Maghreb Fes.

What was the final score of UTS Rabat vs Maghreb Fes?

UTS Rabat 1-0 Maghreb Fes in the Morocco - League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTS Rabat vs Maghreb Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTS Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split UTS Rabat 37%, draw 28%, Maghreb Fes 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTS Rabat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTS Rabat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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