FC Lahti 0-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 56%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.06/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+75% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
0W-1D-5L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.20 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 376
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-4 HT 1-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
20.05.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
31.08.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
10.07.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
22.04.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
08.08.2021 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-2 HT 2-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio got the better of FC Lahti 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Lahti and 2.33 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio?

FC Lahti 0-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - League Cup on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 31%, draw 24%, KuPS Kuopio 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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