Grasse vs Toulon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grasse v Toulon — Team-Based Signals
Grasse 2-1 Toulon — Actual Match Statistics
Grasse squeezed past Toulon 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Toulon at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Grasse had 47% of the ball to Toulon's 53%, shots finished 12-15.
What was the final score of Grasse vs Toulon?
Grasse 2-1 Toulon in the France - National League 2 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grasse vs Toulon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toulon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Grasse 29%, draw 20%, Toulon 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.