16/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Beaucaire vs Lucciana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
29%
25%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Beaucaire v Lucciana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Beaucaire
The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lucciana
The Market 48%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
245 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
354 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Beaucaire vs Lucciana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Beaucaire and Lucciana shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Beaucaire vs Lucciana?
Beaucaire 1-1 Lucciana in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Beaucaire vs Lucciana?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lucciana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Beaucaire 36%, draw 25%, Lucciana 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lucciana), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Lucciana)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
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16 Mar 2024