16/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
ES Fosseenne vs Istres Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
16%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
32%
Home Win
32%
29%
Draw
30%
39%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Fosseenne v Istres — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ES Fosseenne
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Istres
The Market 42%
-52% /
-52%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-60%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
290 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ES Fosseenne vs Istres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Istres got the better of ES Fosseenne 3-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Istres made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of ES Fosseenne vs Istres?
ES Fosseenne 1-3 Istres in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Fosseenne vs Istres?
Before kick-off our model rated an Istres win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ES Fosseenne 32%, draw 29%, Istres 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Istres)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
16 Mar 2024