Espaly-Saint-Marcel 2-1 Limonest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
33%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
33%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
68%
-25.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
33%
Away Win
12%
+21.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espaly-Saint-Marcel The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Limonest The Market 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Limonest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espaly-Saint-Marcel squeezed past Limonest 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Espaly-Saint-Marcel as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Limonest?

Espaly-Saint-Marcel 2-1 Limonest in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Limonest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Espaly-Saint-Marcel 43%, draw 25%, Limonest 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espaly-Saint-Marcel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Espaly-Saint-Marcel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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