16/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Fougere vs Lannion Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
32%
23%
Draw
25%
36%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fougere v Lannion — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fougere
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lannion
The Market 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+18%
/
+64%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
246 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
335 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Fougere vs Lannion Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Fougere
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Lannion
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
51%
Ball Possession
49%
9
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
7
5
Corners
5
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Fougere vs Lannion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fougere edged past Lannion 1-0.
Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fougere found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Fougere vs Lannion?
Fougere 1-0 Lannion in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fougere vs Lannion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fougere win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fougere 41%, draw 23%, Lannion 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fougere) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Fougere)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
16 Mar 2024