16/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
La Chataigneraie vs Nantes II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
40%
29%
Draw
26%
33%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Chataigneraie v Nantes II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
La Chataigneraie
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nantes II
The Market 38%
-57% /
-57%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-29%
/
-32%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
254 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
345 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
La Chataigneraie vs Nantes II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
La Chataigneraie
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Nantes II
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
La Chataigneraie vs Nantes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
La Chataigneraie edged past Nantes II 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day La Chataigneraie made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of La Chataigneraie vs Nantes II?
La Chataigneraie 1-0 Nantes II in the France - National League 3 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Chataigneraie vs Nantes II?
Before kick-off our model rated a La Chataigneraie win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split La Chataigneraie 38%, draw 29%, Nantes II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Chataigneraie), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (La Chataigneraie)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
FRUL3
More France - National League 3
16 Mar 2024