Richards Bay 1-3 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 57%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.05/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/0.24
+150% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
20.0 Crosses 25.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
1W-1D-2L
AWAY SuperSport United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.06 xG 1.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 3-1 HT 1-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
05.08.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
22.01.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-1 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
24.08.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
1-3
AWAY SuperSport United
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United saw off Richards Bay 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SuperSport United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richards Bay had 53% of the ball to SuperSport United's 47%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SuperSport United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richards Bay and 1.25 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs SuperSport United?

Richards Bay 1-3 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Cup on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated an SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 29%, draw 27%, SuperSport United 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SuperSport United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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