Gyeongnam FC 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -32%
1.80/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.93
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.3 Crosses 20.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 239
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
10.06.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
23.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
31.08.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
15.07.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
22.06.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-2
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa nicked a narrow win over Gyeongnam FC 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Asan Mugunghwa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 52% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 48%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.00 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Gyeongnam FC 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 39%, draw 27%, Asan Mugunghwa 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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