Samtredia 1-3 Gagra — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 16 Mar 2024

Samtredia LDD→
1 - 3 HT 1 - 2
Gagra LLL→
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2024

Samtredia vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.58
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Samtredia v Gagra — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Samtredia The Market 39%
Signal
AWAY Gagra The Market 42%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.30 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 3

Samtredia vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Gagra
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Gagra Gagra 4-3 HT 2-3 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
23.09.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 3-1 HT 3-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
28.05.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR

Samtredia 1-3 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
1 - 3
AWAY Gagra
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Samtredia vs Gagra
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gagra got the better of Samtredia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gagra found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Gagra saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Samtredia had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Samtredia against 1.67 for Gagra.

Samtredia vs Gagra Result & Final Score

Samtredia 1 - 3 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Samtredia vs Gagra Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 35%, draw 28%, Gagra 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gagra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gagra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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