Samtredia vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samtredia v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Samtredia vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-3
Samtredia
GUR
3-1
HT 3-1
Gagra
GUR
0-1
HT 0-0
Samtredia
GUR
Samtredia 1-3 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Gagra got the better of Samtredia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gagra found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Samtredia had 42% of the ball to Gagra's 58%, shots finished 9-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Samtredia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Samtredia and 1.67 for Gagra.
What was the final score of Samtredia vs Gagra?
Samtredia 1-3 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Gagra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Samtredia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 38%, draw 28%, Gagra 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.