Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamrun Spartans v Marsaxlokk FC — Team-Based Signals
Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
0-1
HT 0-0
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
1-0
HT 1-0
Marsaxlokk FC
MLTP
Hamrun Spartans 1-2 Marsaxlokk FC — Actual Match Statistics
Marsaxlokk FC squeezed past Hamrun Spartans 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 59% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 41%, shots finished 10-5.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.00 for Marsaxlokk FC.
What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC?
Hamrun Spartans 1-2 Marsaxlokk FC in the Malta - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 50%, draw 30%, Marsaxlokk FC 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.