FC Sheriff 1-1 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 22%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Petrocub
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
06.08.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
03.05.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
30.04.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
26.04.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 1-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLDK
19.03.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 1-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-1
AWAY Petrocub
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff and Petrocub couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sheriff at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 50% of the ball to Petrocub's 50%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.17 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Petrocub?

FC Sheriff 1-1 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 49%, draw 27%, Petrocub 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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