Arminia Ludwigshafen 1-0 FC Bitburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Ludwigshafen The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bitburg The Market 40%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
6.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.51
+150% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Arminia Ludwigshafen vs FC Bitburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Ludwigshafen edged past FC Bitburg 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Ludwigshafen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Arminia Ludwigshafen vs FC Bitburg?

Arminia Ludwigshafen 1-0 FC Bitburg in the Germany - Oberliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Ludwigshafen vs FC Bitburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Ludwigshafen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arminia Ludwigshafen 41%, draw 27%, FC Bitburg 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Ludwigshafen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Ludwigshafen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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