Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.10/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.91
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
21.08.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
18.05.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
14.03.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-3 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
26.09.2021 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
17.07.2021 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
0-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno squeezed past Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 50% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 50%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.33 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 31%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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