ADT 2-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

ADT
2-1 HT 1-0
UTC Cajamarca
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2024

ADT vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.3pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ADT v UTC Cajamarca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
1.12/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.57
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 69%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.3 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

ADT vs UTC Cajamarca Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
0W-2D-2L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.94 xG 0.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
148 Passes 258
63% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.08.2023 ADT ADT 0-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
08.04.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
20.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-2 HT 2-0 ADT ADT PER
19.06.2022 ADT ADT 1-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER

ADT 2-1 UTC Cajamarca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.59 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
292 Passes 178
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADT vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT nicked a narrow win over UTC Cajamarca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ADT had 57% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 43%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.59 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ADT and 1.25 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of ADT vs UTC Cajamarca?

ADT 2-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split ADT 52%, draw 30%, UTC Cajamarca 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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