Warta Sieradz 1-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
31%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-13.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Sieradz EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Sieradz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
8 Corners 3
23.08.2023 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-0 HT 2-0 Warta Sieradz POL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Sieradz
1-2
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Warta Sieradz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki nicked a narrow win over Warta Sieradz 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Warta Sieradz at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Warta Sieradz had 33% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 67%, shots finished 8-24.

What was the final score of Warta Sieradz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Warta Sieradz 1-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Sieradz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Sieradz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Warta Sieradz 47%, draw 23%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Warta Sieradz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warta Sieradz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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