Alexandria 1-1 Metaloglobus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division Play-Out, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alexandria The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Metaloglobus The Market 25%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alexandria vs Metaloglobus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alexandria and Metaloglobus shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alexandria at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Alexandria vs Metaloglobus?

Alexandria 1-1 Metaloglobus in the Romania - 1st Division Play-Out on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alexandria vs Metaloglobus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alexandria win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alexandria 48%, draw 25%, Metaloglobus 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alexandria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alexandria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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