Progresul Pecica 0-1 ASU Poli Timişoara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 3rd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
30%
+12.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progresul Pecica The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY ASU Poli Timişoara The Market 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progresul Pecica
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ASU Poli Timişoara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 1
14.10.2023 ASU Poli Timişoara ASU Poli Timişoara 5-0 HT 3-0 Progresul Pecica ROM3
POST-MATCH Progresul Pecica vs ASU Poli Timişoara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASU Poli Timişoara edged past Progresul Pecica 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Progresul Pecica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Progresul Pecica vs ASU Poli Timişoara?

Progresul Pecica 0-1 ASU Poli Timişoara in the Romania - 3rd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progresul Pecica vs ASU Poli Timişoara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progresul Pecica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Progresul Pecica 43%, draw 24%, ASU Poli Timişoara 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Progresul Pecica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Progresul Pecica) ✓ Under 2.5
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