16/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
MNK Izola vs Dob Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
43%
30%
Draw
28%
23%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MNK Izola v Dob — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
MNK Izola
The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dob
The Market 32%
+32% /
+32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
328 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
MNK Izola vs Dob
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dob ran out comfortable winners over MNK Izola 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was MNK Izola at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of MNK Izola vs Dob?
MNK Izola 0-3 Dob in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MNK Izola vs Dob?
Before kick-off our model rated a MNK Izola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split MNK Izola 47%, draw 30%, Dob 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (MNK Izola), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (MNK Izola)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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16 Mar 2024