16/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
Prevalje vs Zavrc Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
32%
4-5
26%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
38%
36%
Draw
31%
28%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Prevalje v Zavrc — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Prevalje
The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zavrc
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-44% /
-44%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+72%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
276 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Prevalje vs Zavrc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Prevalje and Zavrc couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 36% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Prevalje vs Zavrc?
Prevalje 1-1 Zavrc in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Prevalje vs Zavrc?
Before kick-off our model rated a Prevalje win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Prevalje 36%, draw 36%, Zavrc 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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16 Mar 2024