16/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
Ra?e vs NS Drava Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
53%
37%
Draw
26%
25%
Away Win
21%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ra?e v NS Drava — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ra?e
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
NS Drava
The Market 24%
-67% /
-67%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
350 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
267 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ra?e vs NS Drava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ra?e beat NS Drava 3-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 37% / 25% — and on the day Ra?e made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ra?e vs NS Drava?
Ra?e 3-1 NS Drava in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ra?e vs NS Drava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ra?e win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ra?e 38%, draw 37%, NS Drava 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ra?e) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ra?e)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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16 Mar 2024