16/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Ziri vs Svoboda Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
32%
Home Win
19%
28%
Draw
26%
40%
Away Win
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ziri v Svoboda — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ziri
The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Svoboda
The Market 58%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
274 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ziri vs Svoboda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ziri squeezed past Svoboda 1-0.
Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ziri found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ziri vs Svoboda?
Ziri 1-0 Svoboda in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ziri vs Svoboda?
Before kick-off our model rated an Svoboda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ziri 32%, draw 28%, Svoboda 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Svoboda) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Svoboda)
✓ Under 2.5
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16 Mar 2024