Dravinja 0-1 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dravinja EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.00/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.29
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dravinja
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gorica
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Gorica Gorica 3-0 HT 1-0 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dravinja
0-1
AWAY Gorica
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dravinja vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica edged past Dravinja 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dravinja had 52% of the ball to Gorica's 48%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Dravinja vs Gorica?

Dravinja 0-1 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dravinja vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dravinja 21%, draw 25%, Gorica 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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