Domzale 2-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.91/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.25
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Aluminij
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 0-5 HT 0-2 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.05.2022 Domzale Domzale 3-1 HT 2-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.03.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 1-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
31.10.2021 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
20.08.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
2-0
AWAY Aluminij
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale beat Aluminij 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Domzale as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Domzale had 49% of the ball to Aluminij's 51%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Domzale had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Domzale and 0.67 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Aluminij?

Domzale 2-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Domzale win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Domzale 45%, draw 26%, Aluminij 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Domzale) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Domzale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
16 Mar 2024
17:00 NK Bravo vs Olimpija Ljubljana Analysis →