Ilirija Ljubljana U19 2-6 Maribor U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1.Mladinska Liga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
37%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija Ljubljana U19 The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor U19 The Market 56%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ilirija Ljubljana U19 vs Maribor U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor U19 cruised past Ilirija Ljubljana U19 6-2 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maribor U19 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Ilirija Ljubljana U19 vs Maribor U19?

Ilirija Ljubljana U19 2-6 Maribor U19 in the Slovenia - 1.Mladinska Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija Ljubljana U19 vs Maribor U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ilirija Ljubljana U19 27%, draw 26%, Maribor U19 47%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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