Lampang 1-1 Chainat Hornbill — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lampang EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chainat Hornbill EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.43/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.92
+7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lampang
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Chainat Hornbill
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.04.2022 Chainat Hornbill Chainat Hornbill 1-1 HT 1-0 Lampang Lampang TAY1
21.11.2021 Lampang Lampang 0-0 HT 0-0 Chainat Hornbill Chainat Hornbill TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lampang
1-1
AWAY Chainat Hornbill
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Lampang vs Chainat Hornbill
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lampang and Chainat Hornbill couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lampang at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lampang had 46% of the ball to Chainat Hornbill's 54%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lampang and 0.50 for Chainat Hornbill.

What was the final score of Lampang vs Chainat Hornbill?

Lampang 1-1 Chainat Hornbill in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lampang vs Chainat Hornbill?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lampang win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lampang 43%, draw 27%, Chainat Hornbill 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lampang), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lampang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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